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Daft.ie House Price Report Q2 2023

June 26, 2023

YEAR-ON-YEAR FALLS IN HOUSING PRICES 

  • Housing prices in the second quarter of 2023 were 0.5% lower than a year ago, according to the latest Daft.ie House Price Report released today by Ireland’s largest property website, Daft.ie.
  • This marks the first time since mid-2020 that prices have fallen in year-on-year terms.
  • Looking at the second quarter compared to the first, prices rise – and by an average of 2.4% nationally.
  • The average listed price nationwide in the second quarter of 2023 was €309,648, up 2.4% on the average for the first quarter but slightly lower than this time last year and one-sixth below the Celtic Tiger peak.
  • The number of homes available to buy on June 1st stood at just over 13,000, up 5% on the same date last year but well below the 2019 average of 24,200.


Housing prices in the second quarter of 2023 were 0.5% lower than a year ago, according to the latest Daft.ie House Price Report released today by Ireland’s largest property website, Daft.ie. This marks the first time since mid-2020 that prices have fallen in year-on-year terms. Looking at the second quarter compared to the first, prices rise – and by an average of 2.4% nationally. The average listed price nationwide in the second quarter of 2023 was €309,648, up 2.4% on the average for the first quarter but slightly lower than this time last year and one-sixth below the Celtic Tiger peak. 

Between March and June, prices in Dublin were on average 0.6% lower than a year previously while in Waterford city they were 0.5% lower. Cork and Galway cities saw larger falls in year-on-year terms, of 3.3% and 2.1% respectively. In Limerick city, however, prices bucked the trend and are 1.1% higher than a year ago – and just 2.4% below the late 2007 peak. Outside the cities, prices in Leinster were unchanged compared to a year ago and up 0.6% in Connacht-Ulster, while in Munster they were down 1%. 

The number of homes available to buy on June 1st stood at just over 13,000, up 5% on the same date last year but well below the 2019 average of 24,200. In all parts of the country, the rate at which availability has increased has slowed in recent months.


"Looking at the second quarter compared to the first, prices rise by an average of 2.4% nationally. This is not a trivial increase, almost matching the average quarterly increase in the covid surge between mid-2020 and mid- 2022. And it is the first time since mid-2022 that prices have increased quarter-on-quarter."
Ronan Lyons economist at Trinity College Dublin.



Commenting on the report, its author Ronan Lyons, economist at Trinity College Dublin, said: “The change in market conditions over the last 12 months is clear from the figures in this latest report. A year ago, double-digit inflation in housing prices was still prevalent across much of the country. Now, very few markets are seeing prices more than a percentage point or two higher than a year ago – and those increases largely reflect increases seen March-June last year.
 
But while demand has weakened, the post-covid recovery in supply also appears to be weakening, in both new and second-hand segments. Thus, while this year is unlikely to bring any substantial increases in housing prices, underlying issues stemming from housing shortages will persist.”


Average list price and year-on-year change – major cities, Q2 2023 

  • Dublin City: €424,732 – down 0.6%
  • Cork City: €320,793 – down 3.3%
  • Galway City: €345,460 – down 2.1%
  • Limerick City: €253,581 – up 1.1%
  • Waterford City: €225,967 – down 0.5%
  • Rest of the country: €260,905 – down 0.2%
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Housing prices nationally rose by an average of 3.1% in the third quarter of 2024, according to the latest Daft.ie House Price Report released today by Ireland’s largest property website, Daft.ie. The typical listed price nationwide in the third quarter of 2024 was €344,848, 6.2% higher than in the same period a year earlier and 37% higher than at the onset of the covid19 pandemic. The increase in prices in the third quarter was broadly based but the percentage gains were greatest in Dublin, where prices rose by 4.1% between June and September. This is the largest three-month increase in the capital since early 2017 and means that prices there are on average more than 6% higher than year ago. This means that annual inflation in Dublin is higher than the average of the other four cities for the first time since 2020. In Cork, Galway and Waterford cities, prices in the third quarter were roughly 4% higher than a year ago. Inflation in Limerick city remains higher, however, at 9.7%, while the average increase outside the cities in the year to Q3 was 6.3%. The number of second-hand homes available to buy nationwide on September 1st stood at less than 11,900, down 12% year-on-year, the fifteenth month of contracting supply. The fall in availability largely reflects a dip in the number of second-hand homes coming on to the market over the last year, with just over 51,000 homes coming on to the market in the twelve months to September, compared to almost 57,000 a year ago. Housing prices nationally rose by an average of 3.1% in the third quarter of 2024, according to the latest Daft.ie House Price Report released today by Ireland’s largest property website, Daft.ie. The typical listed price nationwide in the third quarter of 2024 was €344,848, 6.2% higher than in the same period a year earlier and 37% higher than at the onset of the covid19 pandemic. The increase in prices in the third quarter was broadly based but the percentage gains were greatest in Dublin, where prices rose by 4.1% between June and September. This is the largest three-month increase in the capital since early 2017 and means that prices there are on average more than 6% higher than year ago. This means that annual inflation in Dublin is higher than the average of the other four cities for the first time since 2020: in Cork, Galway and Waterford cities, prices in the third quarter were roughly 4% higher than a year ago. Inflation in Limerick city remains higher, however, at 9.7%, while the average increase outside the cities in the year to Q3 was 6.3%. The number of second-hand homes available to buy nationwide on September 1st stood at less than 11,900, down 12% year-on-year, the fifteenth month of contracting supply. This is a new low for this time of year, surpassing the previous low of 12,900 homes on September 1st 2021, just after lockdowns ended. The fall in availability largely reflects a dip in the number of second-hand homes coming on to the market over the last year, with just over 51,000 homes coming on to the market in the twelve months to September, compared to almost 57,000 a year ago. "The figures in this latest House Price Report give further support to the suspicion that the recovery of the second-hand market in Ireland from the double hit of the early 2020s is likely to take time as the true number of homes needed each year, if the housing deficit is to be addressed is close to twice what was built last year." Ronan Lyons, economist at Trinity College Dublin. Commenting on the report, its author Ronan Lyons, economist at Trinity College Dublin, said: “While the volume of new homes being built and bought has largely held up in recent quarters, despite rising interest rates, the same cannot be said of the second-hand market. The number of homes coming on to the second-hand market remains very weak. The resulting scarcity of homes has pushed prices up, especially in Dublin, where new homes are being built. The typical second-hand home bought in Dublin between June and September sold for 7.6% above its listed price, the biggest gap since records began in 2010. Conditions elsewhere are similar, with a record average premium of 5.4% above the listed price nationally. The slow decline in mortgage interest rates will help the market, as will sitting homeowners coming off fixed-rate mortgages. But these factors are largely outside of policymaker control. The underlying issue remains a lack of homes, of all kinds, and this should remain the focus for policymakers before and after the next election.” Average list price and year-on-year change – major cities, Q3 2024 Dublin City: €463,265, up 6.2% Cork City: €354,307, up 3.8% Limerick City: €292,437, up 9.7% Galway City: €388,604, up 4.1% Waterford City: €249,792, up 3.4% Rest of the country: €294,541, up 6.3%
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